Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 57.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 19.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.95%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-0 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Reims |
19.95% ( -0.24) | 22.51% ( -0.05) | 57.53% ( 0.28) |
Both teams to score 53.2% ( -0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.28% ( -0.13) | 45.71% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.96% ( -0.12) | 68.03% ( 0.12) |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.05% ( -0.32) | 36.95% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.26% ( -0.32) | 73.73% ( 0.32) |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.37% ( 0.05) | 15.63% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.37% ( 0.09) | 44.63% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Reims |
1-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.68% Total : 19.95% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.51% | 0-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 9.95% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.15% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 6.13% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.86% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.84% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 57.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Nice | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 12 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |