Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Dec 11, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Auguste Delaune
Reims2 - 0St Etienne
We said: Reims 1-0 Saint-Etienne
It is hard to know what to expect from the visitors in the absence of Puel but Reims seem the more likely victors, even in spite of the squad's many absences, so we are backing a narrow home victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reims | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 41.01% | 28.27% | 30.72% |
| Both teams to score 46.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.04% | 59.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.79% | 80.2% |
| Reims Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.27% | 28.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.44% | 64.55% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.63% | 35.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.87% | 72.13% |
| Score Analysis |
Reims 41.01%
Saint-Etienne 30.71%
Draw 28.26%
| Reims | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 1-0 @ 12.67% 2-1 @ 8.22% 2-0 @ 7.91% 3-1 @ 3.42% 3-0 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 1.78% 4-1 @ 1.07% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.65% Total : 41.01% | 1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 4.27% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.26% | 0-1 @ 10.55% 1-2 @ 6.85% 0-2 @ 5.49% 1-3 @ 2.37% 0-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.08% Total : 30.71% |
How you voted: Reims vs St Etienne
Reims
87.0%Draw
6.5%Saint-Etienne
6.5%46
