Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 60.28%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 17.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.53%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-0 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Rennes |
17.96% | 21.76% | 60.28% |
Both teams to score 52.1% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.57% | 45.43% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.24% | 67.76% |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.03% | 38.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.31% | 75.69% |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.36% | 14.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.24% | 42.76% |
Score Analysis |
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Rennes |
1-0 @ 5.37% 2-1 @ 4.87% 2-0 @ 2.53% 3-1 @ 1.53% 3-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.18% Total : 17.96% | 1-1 @ 10.32% 0-0 @ 5.7% 2-2 @ 4.68% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.76% | 0-1 @ 10.95% 0-2 @ 10.53% 1-2 @ 9.93% 0-3 @ 6.75% 1-3 @ 6.36% 0-4 @ 3.24% 1-4 @ 3.06% 2-3 @ 3% 2-4 @ 1.44% 0-5 @ 1.25% 1-5 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.61% Total : 60.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 29 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 23 |
3 | Marseille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Reims | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
13 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |