Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Nice | 38 | 16 | 67 |
5 | Rennes | 38 | 42 | 66 |
6 | Strasbourg | 38 | 17 | 63 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
19 | Metz | 38 | -34 | 31 |
20 | Bordeaux | 38 | -39 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 81.91%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Metz had a probability of 4.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.88%) and 3-0 (14.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (6.25%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (2.45%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Metz |
81.91% | 13.58% | 4.51% |
Both teams to score 29.38% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.39% | 47.61% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.18% | 69.82% |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.76% | 9.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.74% | 31.26% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
32.38% | 67.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
5.92% | 94.08% |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Metz |
2-0 @ 17.72% 1-0 @ 14.88% 3-0 @ 14.07% 4-0 @ 8.38% 2-1 @ 6.93% 3-1 @ 5.5% 5-0 @ 3.99% 4-1 @ 3.28% 6-0 @ 1.58% 5-1 @ 1.56% 3-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.93% Total : 81.9% | 0-0 @ 6.25% 1-1 @ 5.82% 2-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.15% Total : 13.58% | 0-1 @ 2.45% 1-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.92% Total : 4.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |