Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.
Result | ||
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Strasbourg |
45.81% ( 0.05) | 24.58% ( 0.01) | 29.6% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 56.83% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.15% ( -0.06) | 45.84% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.84% ( -0.06) | 68.16% ( 0.07) |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.89% ( -0) | 20.11% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.64% ( -0.01) | 52.36% ( 0.01) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.13% ( -0.07) | 28.87% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.26% ( -0.09) | 64.74% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Strasbourg |
1-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.99% 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 45.81% | 1-1 @ 11.56% 0-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.58% | 0-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.48% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 29.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 18 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 48 | 16 | 32 | 46 |
2 | Marseille | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Nice | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Lyon | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
7 | Lens | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Brest | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 25 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 24 |
11 | Auxerre | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Angers | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
13 | Reims | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
14 | Rennes | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 17 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 13 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 12 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |