Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Lens |
32.54% | 27.1% | 40.37% |
Both teams to score 50.06% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.8% | 55.2% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.56% | 76.44% |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.41% | 31.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.01% | 67.99% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.17% | 26.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.88% | 62.12% |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 9.77% 2-1 @ 7.4% 2-0 @ 5.63% 3-1 @ 2.84% 3-0 @ 2.16% 3-2 @ 1.87% Other @ 2.87% Total : 32.54% | 1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 8.47% 2-2 @ 4.87% Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.09% | 0-1 @ 11.15% 1-2 @ 8.45% 0-2 @ 7.34% 1-3 @ 3.71% 0-3 @ 3.22% 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1.22% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.08% Total : 40.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 73 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Reims | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |