Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 67.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 13.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Strasbourg |
67.18% ( -0.06) | 19.56% ( 0.03) | 13.26% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 48.3% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.17% ( -0.08) | 44.83% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.81% ( -0.07) | 67.19% ( 0.08) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.61% ( -0.04) | 12.39% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.74% ( -0.08) | 38.26% ( 0.08) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.13% ( -0.01) | 44.87% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.17% ( -0) | 80.83% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Strasbourg |
2-0 @ 12.12% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 11.6% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 67.17% | 1-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.89% Other @ 0.81% Total : 19.56% | 0-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.79% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.04% 1-3 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 1.26% Total : 13.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Nice | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Lille | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |