Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 49.51%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 25.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Toulouse | Draw | Le Havre |
49.51% ( -0.01) | 25.07% ( 0) | 25.41% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.02% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.36% ( -0) | 50.64% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.45% ( -0) | 72.55% ( 0.01) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.53% ( -0) | 20.47% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.06% ( -0.01) | 52.93% ( 0.01) |
Le Havre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.41% ( 0) | 34.58% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.69% ( 0) | 71.3% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Toulouse | Draw | Le Havre |
1-0 @ 11.22% 2-1 @ 9.46% 2-0 @ 8.91% 3-1 @ 5% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.71% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.87% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.66% Total : 49.51% | 1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 7.08% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.99% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 1.78% 0-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.15% Total : 25.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 33 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 28 |
5 | Lyon | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 28 |
6 | Nice | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Lens | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 24 |
8 | Toulouse | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 24 |
9 | Auxerre | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 20 |
11 | Reims | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Brest | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Rennes | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
14 | Angers | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 16 |
16 | NantesNantes | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 15 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 16 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 39 | -24 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |