MX23RW : Thursday, January 9 09:13:34| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6
Sep 24, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Toulouse

Lens
2 - 1
Toulouse

Said (45+2'), Guilavogui (84')
Gradit (54'), Wahi (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gelabert (33')
Donnum (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Lens
Wednesday, September 20 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Union SG 1-1 Toulouse
Thursday, September 21 at 5.55pm in Europa League

We said: Lens 2-1 Toulouse

Although Toulouse have lost just one of their six matches this season, they have only managed to pick up a solitary victory, so Lens will view Sunday's clash as the ideal opportunity to record their first win of the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 22.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Toulouse win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.

Result
LensDrawToulouse
54.74% (0.14100000000001 0.14) 23.25% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08) 22.01% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 53.87% (0.17 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.67% (0.266 0.27)46.33% (-0.266 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.39% (0.248 0.25)68.62% (-0.248 -0.25)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.2% (0.14699999999999 0.15)16.81% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.22% (0.26 0.26)46.78% (-0.259 -0.26)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.75% (0.091999999999999 0.09)35.25% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.99% (0.094000000000001 0.09)72.01% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Lens 54.73%
    Toulouse 22.01%
    Draw 23.25%
LensDrawToulouse
1-0 @ 10.56% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.42% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.84% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.6% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.6% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.5% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.017 0.02)
5-1 @ 0.93% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 54.73%
1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.93% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.25%
0-1 @ 6.18% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.74% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.22% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 22.01%

How you voted: Lens vs Toulouse

Lens
Draw
Toulouse
Lens
76.9%
Draw
7.7%
Toulouse
15.4%
13
Head to Head
May 2, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 33
Toulouse
0-1
Lens
Openda (33')
Oct 28, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 13
Lens
3-0
Toulouse
Openda (60', 86', 90+1')
Mar 14, 2015 7pm
Oct 24, 2014 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille16103337191833
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1677226161028
5Lyon168442820828
6Nice1676331211027
7Lens166641915424
8Toulouse167361817124
9Auxerre166372426-221
10StrasbourgStrasbourg165562828020
11Reims165562121020
12Brest166192429-519
13Rennes165292223-117
14Angers164481626-1016
15Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1651101535-2016
16NantesNantes163671825-715
17Le HavreLe Havre1640121234-2212
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1623111539-249


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