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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Toulouse

Marseille
0 - 0
Toulouse


Correa (64'), Marcelino (80+80'), Harit (89')
FT

Schmidt (4'), Desler (45'), Magri (77'), Restes (79'), Bangre (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 1-1 Marseille
Friday, September 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 3-1 Toulouse

While Toulouse have made a decent start to the season, we expect Marseille to maintain their unbeaten record by claiming a relatively comfortable victory on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 52.16%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
MarseilleDrawToulouse
52.16% (-1.01 -1.01) 23.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.72% (1.017 1.02)
Both teams to score 57.64% (1.192 1.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.1% (1.041 1.04)42.89% (-1.039 -1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.7% (1.024 1.02)65.3% (-1.023 -1.02)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.52% (0.018000000000001 0.02)16.48% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.8% (0.032999999999994 0.03)46.2% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.01% (1.412 1.41)30.99% (-1.411 -1.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.71% (1.624 1.62)67.29% (-1.621 -1.62)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 52.16%
    Toulouse 24.72%
    Draw 23.11%
MarseilleDrawToulouse
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-0 @ 9.21% (-0.425 -0.42)
2-0 @ 8.3% (-0.377 -0.38)
3-1 @ 5.84% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.99% (-0.224 -0.22)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.113 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.63% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.25% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.54% (0.052 0.05)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 52.16%
1-1 @ 10.78% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.186 0.19)
0-0 @ 5.11% (-0.238 -0.24)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.11%
1-2 @ 6.32% (0.202 0.2)
0-1 @ 5.98% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.51% (0.11 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.47% (0.17 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.155 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.37% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 24.72%

How you voted: Marseille vs Toulouse

Marseille
89.6%
Draw
6.3%
Toulouse
4.2%
48
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Toulouse
2-3
Marseille
Dallinga (3'), Onaiwu (87')
Mbemba (52'), Under (59'), Tavares (78')
Dec 29, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
Marseille
6-1
Toulouse
Rongier (13'), Nicolaisen (41' og.), Kolasinac (51'), Payet (61'), Under (80' pen.), Tavares (82')
Van den Boomen (66' pen.)
Feb 8, 2020 4.30pm
Gameweek 24
Marseille
1-0
Toulouse
Payet (51')
Gonzalez (15')

Makengo (61'), Sylla (71')
Nov 24, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 14
Toulouse
0-2
Marseille

Sangare (32'), Isimat-Mirin (63'), Amian (86')
Moreira (41')
Benedetto (76'), Radonjic (79')
Strootman (70'), Radonjic (80'), Kamara (82')
May 18, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 37
Toulouse
2-5
Marseille
Leya Iseka (26'), Gradel (61')
Jullien (22')
Sanson (29'), Sakai (50'), N'Jie (76'), Thauvin (90')
Amavi (39'), Rami (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco32187762422061
3Brest32169749331657
4Lille311510645271855
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens32147114234849
7Rennes32129115143845
8Marseille31111194738944
9Lyon31135134251-944
10Montpellier HSCMontpellier321011114144-340
11Toulouse321010123942-340
12Reims31117133845-740
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3299143547-1236
14NantesNantes3296172949-2033
15Le HavreLe Havre32711143342-932
16Metz3285193454-2029
17Lorient3268183763-2626
18Clermont32510172654-2825


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