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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Toulouse

Montpellier
3 - 0
Toulouse

Adams (13', 72'), Fayad (63')
Fayad (30'), Kouyate (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Suazo (34'), Magri (38'), Schmidt (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 2-0 Montpellier
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Liverpool 5-1 Toulouse
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Montpellier HSC 0-1 Toulouse

After a convincing loss at Nantes and a one-point deduction, it is fair to assume that Montpellier may not be in the best headspace to grind out a result on Sunday. Toulouse return to domestic matters following a humbling evening at Anfield, but we believe Martinez's men will get back to winning ways this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawToulouse
46.31% (-0.287 -0.29) 24.21% (0.12 0.12) 29.48% (0.167 0.17)
Both teams to score 58.04% (-0.31 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.78% (-0.454 -0.45)44.21% (0.456 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.41% (-0.443 -0.44)66.59% (0.444 0.44)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.76% (-0.29900000000001 -0.3)19.24% (0.299 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.05% (-0.496 -0.5)50.95% (0.496 0.5)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.86% (-0.11699999999999 -0.12)28.13% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.19% (-0.148 -0.15)63.81% (0.148 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 46.31%
    Toulouse 29.48%
    Draw 24.2%
Montpellier HSCDrawToulouse
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.92% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.35% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.12% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.25% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 46.31%
1-1 @ 11.31% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.41% (0.106 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.2%
1-2 @ 7.17% (0.027 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.86% (0.113 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.35% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 29.48%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Toulouse

Montpellier HSC
38.9%
Draw
5.6%
Toulouse
55.6%
18
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 30
Montpellier
1-2
Toulouse
Wahi (88')
Dallinga (31'), Chaibi (85')
Oct 2, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 9
Toulouse
4-2
Montpellier
Spierings (18'), Aboukhlal (24'), Chaibi (31'), Dejaegere (48')
Cozza (7'), Wahi (68')
May 23, 2020 7pm
Nov 10, 2019 4pm
Gameweek 13
Montpellier
3-0
Toulouse
Laborde (43'), Le Tallec (59'), Savanier (75')
Chotard (34'), Sambia (87')

Sangare (39'), Vainqueur (41')
Apr 14, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 32
Montpellier
2-1
Toulouse
Skhiri (54'), Camara (77')
Mendes (51'), Mollet (63')
Sidibe (67')
Jullien (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco32187762422061
3Brest32169749331657
4Lille311510645271855
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens32147114234849
7Rennes32129115143845
8Marseille31111194738944
9Lyon31135134251-944
10Montpellier HSCMontpellier321011114144-340
11Toulouse321010123942-340
12Reims31117133845-740
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3299143547-1236
14NantesNantes3296172949-2033
15Le HavreLe Havre32711143342-932
16Metz3285193454-2029
17Lorient3268183763-2626
18Clermont32510172654-2825


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