Ligue 2 | Gameweek 20
Jan 24, 2025 at 7pm UK
Stade Armand-Cesari
Bastia1 - 1Pau
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Pau.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 50.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Pau had a probability of 24.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bastia | Draw | Pau |
50.5% ( -0.01) | 25.46% ( -0.01) | 24.04% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.49% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.7% ( 0.05) | 53.3% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.15% ( 0.05) | 74.85% ( -0.04) |
| Bastia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.87% ( 0.02) | 21.13% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.03% ( 0.03) | 53.97% ( -0.02) |
| Pau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.75% ( 0.05) | 37.25% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.96% ( 0.05) | 74.03% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
Bastia 50.5%
Pau 24.04%
Draw 25.46%
| Bastia | Draw | Pau |
| 1-0 @ 12.23% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.93% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.87% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.92% 4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 50.5% | 1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 7.77% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.84% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.96% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 1.71% Total : 24.04% |
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2024 6.30pm
May 10, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Pau
1-2
Bastia
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Bastia
1-4
Pau
May 20, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 36
Pau
2-6
Bastia
Jan 13, 2023 7.45pm
