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Ligue 1

Troyes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
Jun 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
Lille

Troyes
1 - 1
Lille

Lopes (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Diakite (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Troyes

All competitions
Last Game: Angers 2-1 Troyes
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Lille

All competitions
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Nantes
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 70.73%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 11.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.97%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-0 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
TroyesDrawLille
11.4% (-1.299 -1.3)17.87% (0.327 0.33)70.73% (0.971 0.97)
Both teams to score 48.18% (-5.538 -5.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.08% (-5.056 -5.06)41.92% (5.055 5.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.67% (-5.282 -5.28)64.32% (5.282 5.28)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.9% (-5.459 -5.46)46.1% (5.457 5.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.2% (-4.566 -4.57)81.8% (4.564 4.56)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.39% (-1.111 -1.11)10.61% (1.11 1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.59% (-2.55 -2.55)34.41% (2.549 2.55)
Score Analysis
    Troyes 11.4%
    Lille 70.72%
    Draw 17.87%
TroyesDrawLille
1-0 @ 3.79% (0.311 0.31)
2-1 @ 3.29% (-0.394 -0.39)
2-0 @ 1.47% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-2 @ 0.95% (-0.348 -0.35)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 11.4%
1-1 @ 8.5% (0.315 0.32)
0-0 @ 4.89% (1.031 1.03)
2-2 @ 3.69% (-0.645 -0.65)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 17.87%
0-2 @ 12.3% (1.61 1.61)
0-1 @ 10.97% (1.883 1.88)
1-2 @ 9.53% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-3 @ 9.2% (0.811 0.81)
1-3 @ 7.13% (-0.43 -0.43)
0-4 @ 5.16% (0.223 0.22)
1-4 @ 4% (-0.45 -0.45)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.642 -0.64)
0-5 @ 2.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.79% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-4 @ 1.55% (-0.454 -0.45)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 70.72%

How you voted: Troyes vs Lille

Troyes
11.5%
Draw
11.5%
Lille
76.9%
26
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2023 12pm
gameweek 19
Lille
5-1
Troyes
Bayo (16', 47'), David (45+2', 88'), Virginius (75')
Balde (65')
May 1, 2022 12pm
gameweek 35
Troyes
3-0
Lille
Tardieu (43' pen., 86' pen.), Ugbo (55' pen.)

Sanches (50'), Botman (54'), Gudmundsson (61')
Sanches (50'), Yilmaz (68')
Dec 4, 2021 6pm
gameweek 17
Lille
2-1
Troyes
David (48'), Giraudon (85' og.)
Xeka (41'), Yilmaz (66'), Onana (88')
Dingome (6')
Kouame (22'), Giraudon (33'), Salmier (33'), Dingome (59')
Jan 20, 2018 7pm
Troyes
1-0
Lille
Niane (44')

Benzia (45'), Araujo (77')
Oct 14, 2017 7pm
Lille
2-2
Troyes
Araujo (12'), Mendes (74')
Pepe (66')
Amadou (90')
Darbion (3'), Niane (90' pen.)
Dingome (50'), Traore (69')