Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
Jun 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
Troyes1 - 1Lille
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Angers 2-1 Troyes
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Nantes
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
We said: Troyes 0-2 Lille
Of course, Troyes will be desperate to give their fans something to cheer about on the final day of the campaign, having failed to win any of their previous 20 league matches, but Lille are expected to heap more misery on the relegated outfit while securing Europa League football. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 70.73%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 11.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.97%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-0 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Troyes | Draw | Lille |
11.4% ( -1.3) | 17.87% ( 0.33) | 70.73% ( 0.97) |
| Both teams to score 48.18% ( -5.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.08% ( -5.06) | 41.92% ( 5.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.67% ( -5.28) | 64.32% ( 5.28) |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.9% ( -5.46) | 46.1% ( 5.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.2% ( -4.57) | 81.8% ( 4.56) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.39% ( -1.11) | 10.61% ( 1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 65.59% ( -2.55) | 34.41% ( 2.55) |
| Score Analysis |
Troyes 11.4%
Lille 70.72%
Draw 17.87%
| Troyes | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.39)2-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.35)Other @ 1.9% Total : 11.4% | 1-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.32) 0-0 @ 4.89% ( 1.03)2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.65)Other @ 0.79% Total : 17.87% | 0-2 @ 12.3% ( 1.61) 0-1 @ 10.97% ( 1.88)1-2 @ 9.53% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 9.2% ( 0.81)1-3 @ 7.13% ( -0.43)0-4 @ 5.16% ( 0.22)1-4 @ 4% ( -0.45)2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.64)0-5 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.79% ( -0.3)2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.45)Other @ 4.01% Total : 70.72% |
How you voted: Troyes vs Lille
Troyes
11.5%Draw
11.5%Lille
76.9%26
