Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20
Feb 4, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Metz1 - 2Lorient
We said: Metz 1-1 Lorient
Lorient have struggled defensively while Metz have struggled to score goals. We see the game ending in a stalemate, with both sides canceling each other out. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 48.54%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 25.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Lorient |
48.54% ( 0.3) | 26.35% ( -0.05) | 25.12% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 47.98% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.2% ( 0.02) | 55.8% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.07% ( 0.02) | 76.93% ( -0.02) |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.97% ( 0.15) | 23.03% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.16% ( 0.21) | 56.85% ( -0.22) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.34% ( -0.2) | 37.66% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.56% ( -0.2) | 74.44% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
Metz 48.53%
Lorient 25.12%
Draw 26.34%
| Metz | Draw | Lorient |
| 1-0 @ 12.73% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.77% Total : 48.53% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.34% | 0-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.66% Total : 25.12% |
How you voted: Metz vs Lorient
Metz
36.4%Draw
51.5%Lorient
12.1%33
