Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13
Nov 26, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Lorient2 - 3Metz
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Clermont 1-0 Lorient
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 3-1 Nantes
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1
We said: Lorient 1-1 Metz
Metz may have entered the international break with the wind in their sails, but Lorient arguably benefitted more from the fortnight's reset, especially with a couple of names exiting their packed treatment room. Les Merlus are seldom outclassed on their own turf as well, so we can envisage Le Bris's team ending their goalless streak to take a point off of their newly-promoted foes on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Metz |
32.29% ( 0.02) | 26.04% ( -0) | 41.66% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.28% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.96% ( 0.01) | 51.03% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.1% ( 0.01) | 72.9% ( -0.01) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.34% ( 0.02) | 29.66% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.29% ( 0.02) | 65.71% ( -0.02) |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.75% ( -0.01) | 24.25% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.4% ( -0.01) | 58.6% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
Lorient 32.29%
Metz 41.65%
Draw 26.04%
| Lorient | Draw | Metz |
| 1-0 @ 8.74% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.31% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.05% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.15% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 32.29% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.19% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.77% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.22% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.14% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.41% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.52% 1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 41.65% |
How you voted: Lorient vs Metz
Lorient
30.8%Draw
46.2%Metz
23.1%13
