MLS Playoffs | First Round
Oct 17, 2022 at 1am UK
Saputo Stadium
We said: CF Montreal 2-0 Orlando City
CF Montreal look to be the real deal, with quality in abundance and a level of consistency that few teams could match over this campaign.
Orlando deserve a ton of credit for their refusal to roll over and die when all looked lost, but it is hard to envision them posing much of a threat to a Montreal side brimming with confidence and ultra-motivated, knowing that at least one of their superstars will not be back next season.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 65.61% . A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 14.27% .
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.77% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.8%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%) , while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (4.68%) . The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for CF Montreal in this match.
Result CF Montreal Draw Orlando City 65.61% ( 1.2) 20.12% ( -0.36) 14.27% ( -0.84)
Both teams to score 49.19% ( -0.93)
54.92% ( -0.15) 45.08% ( 0.15)
32.57% ( -0.15) 67.43% ( 0.15)
87.09% ( 0.31) 12.91% ( -0.3)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 60.66% ( 0.62) 39.34% ( -0.61)
56.48% ( -1.27) 43.52% ( 1.27)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 20.28% ( -1.07) 79.73% ( 1.08)
CF Montreal 65.6%
Orlando City 14.27%
Draw 20.12%
CF Montreal Draw Orlando City 2-0 @ 11.77% ( 0.34) 1-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.21) 4-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.04) Other @ 3% Total : 65.6% 1-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.86% Total : 20.12% 0-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.44% Total : 14.27%
How you voted: TBC vs TBC
11
rhs 2.0
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