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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
New York City
Major League Soccer
Oct 2, 2022 at 6pm UK
Yankee Stadium
Orlando City

NY City
2 - 1
Orlando City

Callens (66'), Magno (81')
Moralez (69'), Magno (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Torres (47')
Araujo (57'), Urso (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions
Last Game: NY City 2-0 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, September 17 at 6pm in Major League Soccer

Orlando City

All competitions
Last Game: Orlando City 4-0 Toronto
Sunday, September 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-0 Orlando City

 The Pigeons are full of confidence at the moment, winning a pair of significant games, while Orlando looked great against Toronto, but to be fair, the Reds appeared deflated after being eliminated from postseason contention. Momentum and quality will favour NYCFC in this one, while we expect the Lions to hang back and try to impede the home side, who have many dependable match winners. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 68.6%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 12.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawOrlando City
68.6% (0.087999999999994 0.09) 18.94% (-0.038 -0.04) 12.45% (-0.054 -0.05)
Both teams to score 47.96% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.97% (0.047999999999995 0.05)44.03% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.59% (0.048000000000002 0.05)66.41% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.24% (0.034000000000006 0.03)11.76% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.07% (0.081000000000003 0.08)36.93% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.35% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)45.65% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.55% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)81.45% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 68.59%
    Orlando City 12.45%
    Draw 18.94%
New York City FCDrawOrlando City
2-0 @ 12.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 11.49%
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.78% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.88% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.7% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.68% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 2.01% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.58% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 68.59%
1-1 @ 9.01% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.37% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 18.94%
0-1 @ 4.21% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.53% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.65% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.99% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 0.92% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 12.45%

How you voted: NY City vs Orlando City

New York City FC
57.1%
Draw
28.6%
Orlando City
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2022 12.30am
Orlando City
2-1
NY City
Urso (7'), Akindele (90+6')
Carlos (50')
Moralez (53')
Haak (45+1'), Moralez (89'), Chanot (90+3')
Jul 25, 2021 11pm
NY City
5-0
Orlando City
Medina (40'), Tajouri (53'), Moralez (66'), Meineche (79'), Castellanos (82')
Acevedo (74')

Carlos (41'), Schlegel (86')
May 8, 2021 11pm
Orlando City
1-1
NY City
Nani (52')
Smith (34')
Castellanos (77' pen.)
Sands (64')
Nov 21, 2020 5pm
Orlando City
1-1
NY City
 Orlando City win 4-3 on penalties
Nani (5' pen.)
Carlos (71'), Ruan (77'), Jansson (90+4'), Perea (90+6'), Gallese (103')
Ruan (87')
Chanot (8')
Castellanos (70'), Mackay-Steven (88'), Ibeagha (120+2')
Oct 15, 2020 12.30am
Orlando City
1-1
NY City
Mueller (18')
Carlos (3'), Jansson (37'), Miller (53')
Parks (43')
Ring (5'), Tinnerholm (45+5'), Parks (82')
rhs 2.0
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