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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Austin FC
Major League Soccer
Apr 11, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Austin FC Stadium
Minnesota United

Austin
1 - 0
Minnesota Utd

Urruti (58')
Cascante (54'), Gallagher (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Trapp (10'), Boxall (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

Last Six:
Last Game: LA Galaxy 4-1 Austin
Sunday, May 29 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Montreal vs. Austin
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Minnesota United

Last Six:
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 0-1 NY City
Sunday, May 29 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: New England vs. Minnesota Utd
Monday, June 20 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 3-1 Minnesota United

 Austin are the most dangerous attacking side in the league at the moment, and although St. Clair has played exceptionally well for Minnesota, he can only do so much to contain such a dynamic side, who have scored 11 goals this season in three home fixtures. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawMinnesota United
47.51%24.01%28.48%
Both teams to score 58.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.06%43.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.67%66.33%
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.36%18.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.05%49.95%
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.31%28.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.49%64.51%
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 47.51%
    Minnesota United 28.48%
    Draw 24.01%
Austin FCDrawMinnesota United
2-1 @ 9.42%
1-0 @ 8.98%
2-0 @ 7.55%
3-1 @ 5.28%
3-0 @ 4.23%
3-2 @ 3.29%
4-1 @ 2.22%
4-0 @ 1.77%
4-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 47.51%
1-1 @ 11.21%
2-2 @ 5.88%
0-0 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.01%
1-2 @ 7%
0-1 @ 6.68%
0-2 @ 4.17%
1-3 @ 2.92%
2-3 @ 2.45%
0-3 @ 1.74%
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 28.48%

How you voted: Austin vs Minnesota Utd

Austin FC
75.0%
Draw
12.5%
Minnesota United
12.5%
16
Head to Head
Oct 17, 2021 2am
Austin
0-1
Minnesota Utd

Cascante (42')
Fragapane (16')
Reynoso (59'), Gasper (90+2'), Alonso (90+3')
Jun 24, 2021 1am
Minnesota Utd
2-0
Austin
Fragapane (10'), Hunou (18')

Romana (16'), Fagundez (39')
May 2, 2021 1am
Minnesota Utd
0-1
Austin

Alonso (41'), Boxall (60'), Gasper (90+6')
Fagundez (17')
Romana (74'), Berhalter (81')
rhs 2.0
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