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Major League Soccer
Oct 1, 2022 at 10.30pm UK
Bank of America Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Charlotte FC
4 - 0
Philadelphia

Rios (24', 54', 72' pen., 90+1')
Bronico (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wagner (39'), Gazdag (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Charlotte FC and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-3 Charlotte FC
Sunday, September 18 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 0-0 Philadelphia
Saturday, September 17 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Charlotte FC 1-2 Philadelphia Union

Charlotte will be a desperate team heading into this encounter as one more defeat would eliminate them from playoff contention, but the Union have plenty to play for as well, including the fact that a victory would guarantee they finish on top of the Eastern Conference standings. Look for the home side to put a lot of effort into shutting down this dangerous Union attack, but the problem for Charlotte is that there are too many lethal finishers for them to track, while Philly can defend with the very best in MLS. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Charlotte FCDrawPhiladelphia Union
30.83% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 25.23% (0.0019999999999989 0) 43.93% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.34% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.9% (0.0020000000000024 0)48.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.74% (0.0019999999999989 0)70.26%
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.83% (0.010000000000005 0.01)29.17% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.89% (0.012 0.01)65.1% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.12% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)21.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.88% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)55.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Charlotte FC 30.83%
    Philadelphia Union 43.93%
    Draw 25.23%
Charlotte FCDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 7.86% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-1 @ 7.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 4.84% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.99% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 30.83%
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 6.38%
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 9.7% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 9.08% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 7.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.6% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 3.73% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.83%
1-4 @ 1.75% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.42% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 43.93%

How you voted: Charlotte FC vs Philadelphia

Charlotte FC
12.0%
Draw
12.0%
Philadelphia Union
76.0%
25
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2022 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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