Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 57.76%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 19.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.