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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Feb 25, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Nippert Stadium
Toronto FC

Cincinnati
0 - 0
Toronto


Kubo (63')
FT

Osorio (2'), Petretta (34'), O'Neill (54'), Johnson (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cavalier 0-2 Cincinnati
Friday, February 23 at 2am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Toronto 0-2 Orlando City
Saturday, October 21 at 11.20pm in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-0 Toronto

Cincinnati made a massive statement with their domestic performances last year, and while they have lost some solid attacking pieces, they still have plenty of great chance creators capable of contributing. There is a lot of healing that needs to be done in Toronto, which might not happen overnight, while there are plenty of defensive improvements that still need to happen. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 63.07%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 16.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawToronto
63.07% (-0.248 -0.25) 20.45% (0.129 0.13) 16.48% (0.123 0.12)
Both teams to score 53.43% (-0.167 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.85% (-0.352 -0.35)42.15% (0.357 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.45% (-0.35299999999999 -0.35)64.55% (0.35900000000001 0.36)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.26% (-0.175 -0.17)12.75% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61% (-0.367 -0.37)39% (0.373 0.37)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.23% (-0.064 -0.06)38.77% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.49% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)75.51% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 63.06%
    Toronto 16.48%
    Draw 20.45%
FC CincinnatiDrawToronto
2-0 @ 10.48% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 10.17% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 7.2% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.82% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.71% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.51% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.23% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.53% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.45% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 63.06%
1-1 @ 9.65% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.94% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.45%
0-1 @ 4.68% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
1-2 @ 4.57% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.22% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.44% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 16.48%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Toronto

FC Cincinnati
54.2%
Draw
16.7%
Toronto
29.2%
24
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 12.30am
Toronto
2-3
Cincinnati
Osorio (39', 44')
Antonoglou (74'), Osei Owusu (84')
Vazquez (28', 35'), Boupendza (72')
Jun 22, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati
3-0
Toronto
Arias (35'), Acosta (54'), Badji (63')
Nwobodo (19'), Gaddis (41'), Halsey (82')

Petretta (25'), Bernardeschi (41')
May 5, 2022 12.30am
Cincinnati
2-0
Toronto
Harris (2'), Acosta (57' pen.)
Nwobodo (59'), Blackett (75'), Barreal (88')

Nelson (12')
Priso-Mbongue (6')
Apr 30, 2022 8pm
Sep 30, 2021 12am
Gameweek 36
Toronto
3-2
Cincinnati
Shaffelburg (48'), Delgado (55'), Achara (65')
Achara (59'), Soteldo (76'), Marshall-Rutty (90')

Valot (32'), Castillo (41'), Vallecilla (59'), Stanko (74')
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