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Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
Oct 19, 2024 at 11pm UK
Soldier Field
Nashville

Chicago Fire
0 - 3
Nashville


Navarro (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Muyl (54'), Surridge (87'), Shaffelburg (90+1')
Gaines (60'), Shaffelburg (62'), Godoy (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 4-3 Chicago Fire
Thursday, October 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 3-1 Nashville
Sunday, October 6 at 9.25pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 2-1 Nashville SC

While Nashville only need a draw to guarantee they will not end bottom of the Eastern Conference this season, Chicago have avoided defeat in their last two home games, including a 2-1 win over the Red Bulls, and we feel the hosts may just be able to manage one more big performance before the rebuild for next term begins. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Chicago FireDrawNashville SC
49.09% (-1.062 -1.06) 24.63% (0.147 0.15) 26.28% (0.92 0.92)
Both teams to score 54.2% (0.383 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.84% (0.102 0.1)48.16% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.68% (0.094000000000001 0.09)70.32% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.35% (-0.39 -0.39)19.66% (0.394 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.37% (-0.643 -0.64)51.63% (0.645 0.65)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.46% (0.80200000000001 0.8)32.54% (-0.79900000000001 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.93% (0.892 0.89)69.08% (-0.889 -0.89)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 49.09%
    Nashville SC 26.28%
    Draw 24.63%
Chicago FireDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 10.4% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 8.46% (-0.247 -0.25)
3-1 @ 5.15% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-0 @ 4.59% (-0.192 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.87% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 49.09%
1-1 @ 11.68% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.4% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.63%
0-1 @ 7.18% (0.126 0.13)
1-2 @ 6.56% (0.176 0.18)
0-2 @ 4.03% (0.157 0.16)
1-3 @ 2.45% (0.118 0.12)
2-3 @ 2% (0.072 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 26.28%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs Nashville

Chicago Fire
75.0%
Draw
16.7%
Nashville SC
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2024 1.30am
Nashville
1-0
Chicago Fire
Surridge (19')
Godoy (21'), Lovitz (26'), Ajago (85'), Yazbek (85'), Willis (90+1')

Omsberg (64')
Jul 9, 2023 1.30am
May 7, 2023 1.30am
Nashville
3-0
Chicago Fire
Williams (45+3' pen., 70' pen., 90+1')
Sep 26, 2021 6pm
Jul 18, 2021 1.30am
Gameweek 16
Nashville
5-1
Chicago Fire
Pineda (27'), Navarro (49')
Kappelhof (14')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Texans
@
Cowboys
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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