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Charlotte FC
Major League Soccer
Oct 3, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Bank of America Stadium
Chicago Fire

Charlotte FC
4 - 3
Chicago Fire

Swiderski (8', 45+1'), Urso (30'), Abada (58')
Abada (16'), Smith (17'), Swiderski (69'), Kahlina (90+4')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Herbers (25'), Acosta (67'), Barlow (90+3')
Navarro (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Charlotte FC and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 1-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-1 Toronto
Sunday, September 29 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Charlotte FC 2-1 Chicago Fire

Charlotte have dominated recent match-ups against the Fire, notching four consecutive victories entering Wednesday's fixture, and they should seal another success against an opponent that has nothing riding on the outcome in Illinois. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.

Result
Charlotte FCDrawChicago Fire
47.77% (0.297 0.3) 24.79% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05) 27.44% (-0.242 -0.24)
Both teams to score 54.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.94% (0.074999999999996 0.07)48.06% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.78% (0.069000000000003 0.07)70.22% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.83% (0.157 0.16)20.17% (-0.155 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.55% (0.249 0.25)52.45% (-0.248 -0.25)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.42% (-0.14200000000001 -0.14)31.58% (0.144 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.02% (-0.165 -0.16)67.98% (0.167 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Charlotte FC 47.76%
    Chicago Fire 27.44%
    Draw 24.79%
Charlotte FCDrawChicago Fire
1-0 @ 10.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.16% (0.052 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.02% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.36% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.01% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 47.76%
1-1 @ 11.75% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.37% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 7.34% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.77% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.23% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 27.44%

How you voted: Charlotte FC vs Chicago Fire

Charlotte FC
92.9%
Draw
7.1%
Chicago Fire
0.0%
28
Head to Head
May 16, 2024 1.30am
Oct 8, 2023 1.30am
Chicago Fire
0-2
Charlotte FC

Gimenez (61'), Teran (80')
Westwood (23'), Swiderski (58' pen.)
Jones (90+3'), Jozwiak (90+6')
May 18, 2023 12.30am
Charlotte FC
2-1
Chicago Fire
Cambridge (68', 81')
Malanda (45+1'), Kahlina (55'), Swiderski (80'), Jones (87'), Sobocinski (88')
Przybylko (29')
Gimenez (20'), Gutierrez (39'), Torres (72'), Koutsias (90+1')
Aug 7, 2022 12am
rhs 2.0
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