Major League Soccer
Oct 6, 2024 at 9.25pm UK
Red Bull Arena
NY City3 - 1Nashville
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: NY City 3-2 Cincinnati
Thursday, October 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Thursday, October 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
51
Last Game: Nashville 3-4 DC United
Thursday, October 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Thursday, October 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
34
We said: New York City FC 2-1 Nashville SC
The Pigeons should be brimming with confidence after finally beating an elite MLS team this week in Cincinnati, and we expect them to continue that momentum into this encounter. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 61.71%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 18.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 1-0 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 1-2 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | Nashville SC |
61.71% ( 0.01) | 19.95% ( -0) | 18.33% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.16% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
