NY City3 - 1Nashville
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, October 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
for
Thursday, October 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
for
We said: New York City FC 2-1 Nashville SC
The Pigeons should be brimming with confidence after finally beating an elite MLS team this week in Cincinnati, and we expect them to continue that momentum into this encounter. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 61.71%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 18.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 1-0 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 1-2 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | Nashville SC |
61.71% ( 0.01) | 19.95% ( -0) | 18.33% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 59.16% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.51% ( -0) | 36.49% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.36% ( -0) | 58.63% ( -0) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.59% | 11.4% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.83% ( 0) | 36.16% ( -0.01) |
Nashville SC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.77% ( -0.01) | 33.22% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.16% ( -0.01) | 69.83% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | Nashville SC |
2-1 @ 9.84% 2-0 @ 8.93% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.23% 3-1 @ 7.12% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.46% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.92% 4-1 @ 3.87% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.51% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.13% 5-1 @ 1.68% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.52% 5-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.57% Total : 61.71% | 1-1 @ 9.07% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.79% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.24% Total : 19.95% | 1-2 @ 4.99% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.18% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 18.33% |
How you voted: NY City vs Nashville
Eastern Conference
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Western Conference
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |