Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 57.27%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 19.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.