We said: New York City FC 2-1 Columbus Crew
It has been a trying time for the Pigeons, but they should have their share of opportunities to score this weekend against a side who are a little overzealous along the back end, and after a pair of solid defensive outings themselves, things seem to be lined up for NYCFC to collect three points at long last.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.