Major League Soccer
May 5, 2024 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Toronto3 - 1Dallas
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Orlando City 1-2 Toronto
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
11
Last Game: Dallas 2-0 Houston
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
We said: Toronto 1-0 Dallas
Toronto have been a lot better in close games this season and are getting some great performances out of Sean Johnson in goal, so we expect them to shut down a side in Dallas that are struggling to unlock opposing defensive units. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Dallas win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | Dallas |
44.89% ( -0.4) | 25.89% ( 0.07) | 29.23% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 52.37% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
