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Major League Soccer
Aug 18, 2022 at 2am UK
Pizza Hut Park
Philadelphia Union

Dallas
1 - 0
Philadelphia

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gazdag (73'), Mbaizo (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dallas 4-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, August 14 at 2am in Major League Soccer

We said: Dallas 1-1 Philadelphia Union

Both sides have been in good form of late, so we can envisage a share of the spoils. Philadelphia are second in the overall MLS table right now, but with a long trip ahead of them to Dallas, they would likely be content with avoiding defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dallas in this match.

Result
DallasDrawPhiladelphia Union
46.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 26.66% (-0.299 -0.3) 26.8% (0.288 0.29)
Both teams to score 48.46% (1.053 1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.13% (1.252 1.25)55.87% (-1.257 -1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.02% (1.01 1.01)76.98% (-1.013 -1.01)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.01% (0.55199999999999 0.55)23.99% (-0.556 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.77% (0.783 0.78)58.23% (-0.788 -0.79)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.75% (0.927 0.93)36.25% (-0.931 -0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.96% (0.927 0.93)73.04% (-0.932 -0.93)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 46.54%
    Philadelphia Union 26.8%
    Draw 26.65%
DallasDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 12.41% (-0.4 -0.4)
2-1 @ 8.99% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.86% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.28% (0.108 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.22% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.108 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.53% (0.062 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 46.54%
1-1 @ 12.59% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.7% (-0.43 -0.43)
2-2 @ 4.56% (0.155 0.16)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 8.82% (-0.205 -0.21)
1-2 @ 6.39% (0.117 0.12)
0-2 @ 4.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.16% (0.093 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.54% (0.09 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 26.8%

How you voted: Dallas vs Philadelphia

Dallas
36.8%
Draw
42.1%
Philadelphia Union
21.1%
38
Head to Head
Feb 29, 2020 11pm
Dallas
2-0
Philadelphia
Ondrasek (61'), Pomykal (90')
Ondrasek (86')

Real (26'), Glesnes (59'), Creavalle (67'), Santos (84')
Apr 7, 2019 12.30am
Apr 22, 2018 1am
Dallas
2-0
Philadelphia
Diaz (64' pen.), Urruti (74')
Hayes (17')

Medunjanin (92')
Aug 6, 2017 12am
Philadelphia
3-1
Dallas
Sapong (17', 68'), Ilsinho (22')
Ilsinho (64')
Barrios (92')
Cermeno (45'), Hedges (55')
Mar 6, 2016 8pm
rhs 2.0
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