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Major League Soccer
Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Aug 14, 2022 at 12.30am UK
PPL Park
Chicago Fire

Philadelphia
4 - 1
Chicago Fire

Gazdag (16'), Elliott (37'), Carranza (53'), Burke (82')
Bedoya (28'), Burke (85'), Carranza (86'), Mbaizo (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Mueller (49')
Pineda (3'), Shaqiri (70'), Navarro (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

Last Six:
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, August 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire

Last Six:
Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-3 Chicago Fire
Sunday, August 7 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-0 Chicago Fire

 Chicago will be desperate to maintain their top seven position in the Eastern Conference, but Philly are only three points ahead of NYCFC for first, so there is just as much for them to play for at the moment. The Union have been incredibly potent, well-organised and full of confidence on home soil, all of which we believe will propel them to another victory at Subaru Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 58.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 19.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawChicago Fire
58.19% (-0.114 -0.11) 22.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 19.56% (0.104 0.1)
Both teams to score 53.41% (0.155 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.88% (0.118 0.12)45.12% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.53% (0.113 0.11)67.46% (-0.117 -0.12)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.79% (0.0010000000000048 0)15.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.15% (0.0049999999999955 0)43.84% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.99% (0.178 0.18)37.01% (-0.182 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.2% (0.176 0.18)73.8% (-0.181 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 58.18%
    Chicago Fire 19.56%
    Draw 22.24%
Philadelphia UnionDrawChicago Fire
1-0 @ 10.59% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 9.98% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.92%
3-0 @ 6.27% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.23% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.93% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 58.18%
1-1 @ 10.53%
0-0 @ 5.63% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.24%
0-1 @ 5.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 5.24% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.78% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 19.56%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Chicago Fire

Philadelphia Union
77.8%
Draw
0.0%
Chicago Fire
22.2%
18
Head to Head
Jun 30, 2022 1am
Chicago Fire
1-0
Philadelphia
Navarro (68')
Teran (51')

Andres Martinez (29'), Bedoya (35'), Wagner (77'), Gazdag (83')
Andres Martinez (72')
Aug 1, 2021 11pm
Philadelphia
1-1
Chicago Fire
Wagner (36')
Glesnes (30'), Elliott (66')
Frankowski (10')
Herbers (41'), Beric (78')
Omsberg (34')
Jun 27, 2021 1am
Chicago Fire
3-3
Philadelphia
Glesnes (2' og.), Sekulic (56'), Pineda (67')
Stojanovic (44'), Navarro (62'), Herbers (81')
Sullivan (28'), Burke (45+2'), Sekulic (79' og.)
Elliott (10'), Santos (34'), Wagner (52'), Powell (55')
May 8, 2021 6pm
Chicago Fire
0-2
Philadelphia

Kappelhof (26'), Omsberg (48'), Sekulic (90+2')
Burke (51'), Glesnes (60')
Monteiro (90+2'), Bedoya (90+6'), Glesnes (90+7')
> Preview
Oct 28, 2020 11.30pm
Philadelphia
2-1
Chicago Fire
Przybylko (28' pen.), Burke (65')
Elliott (16'), Fontana (48'), Bedoya (68'), Ilsinho (90+4')
Beric (42')
Beric (45'), Medran (57'), Mihailovic (88')
Calvo (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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