Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 59.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for DC United had a probability of 18.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.