Major League Soccer

Apr 23, 2023 at 1.30am UK

BBVA Compass Stadium

Houston
1 - 0
Inter Miami

Steres (72')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-1 Houston
Sunday, April 16 at 1.11am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Inter Miami

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Miami 0-1 Dallas
Sunday, April 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 54.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 21.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Houston Dynamo in this match.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	Inter Miami
54.63% ( -0.02)	23.54% ( 0)	21.83% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 52.72% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.27% (

47.73% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.08%

69.92% (

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.65% (

-0.01)

17.35% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.25% (

-0.01)

47.75% (

0.02)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.79% (

0.02)

36.21% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.01% (

0.02)

72.99% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 54.63%

Inter Miami 21.83%

Draw 23.53%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	Inter Miami
1-0 @ 11% 2-1 @ 9.79% 2-0 @ 9.64% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.63% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.9% 4-1 @ 2.5% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.46% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.72% Total : 54.63%	1-1 @ 11.17% 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.53%	0-1 @ 6.38% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.68% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.24% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 1.82% Total : 21.83%