Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 54.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 21.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Houston Dynamo in this match.