We said: Houston Dynamo 3-1 Minnesota United
Neither side will head into this match in the greatest of form, but Houston appear to have a little more about them at present, and their general mood should be improved after salvaging a draw in the dying stages of their last match.
Minnesota Utd, on the other hand, were thrashed by Austin last time out, and their season may be heading into a state of decline. We can envisage the hosts picking up a crucial victory.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 50.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 24.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.