Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 55.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 21.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Minnesota United in this match.