Major League Soccer

Jul 16, 2023 at 3.30am UK

Providence Park

Portland
3 - 2
Columbus Crew

Asprilla (28', 30'), Blanco (80')
Loria (48'), Chara (54'), Blanco (81')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Zelarayan (45+3', 65')
Russell-Rowe (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: Colorado 0-0 Portland
Thursday, July 13 at 2am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Columbus Crew

All competitions

Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-1 NY City
Sunday, July 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Portland Timbers 1-1 Columbus Crew

While the Crew have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks, they have managed just one win in their last six outings. Portland Timbers head into the weekend in need of a morale-boosting result, but we predict that they will have to settle for a draw against a solid Columbus Crew side.

How to watch

You can watch Portland Timbers vs. Columbus Crew and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 49.22%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	Columbus Crew
49.22% ( 1.06)	23.96% ( -0.32)	26.81% ( -0.74)

Both teams to score 56.85% (

0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.13% (

0.87)

44.87% (

-0.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.77% (

0.83)

67.22% (

-0.83)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.68% (

0.76)

18.32% (

-0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.59% (

1.27)

49.41% (

-1.27)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.61% (

-0.11)

30.39% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.41% (

-0.13)

66.58% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 49.22%

Columbus Crew 26.81%

Draw 23.96%

Portland Timbers	Draw	Columbus Crew
2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.4% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.47% Total : 49.22%	1-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.96%	1-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.04% Total : 26.81%