We said: Sporting Kansas City 1-3 Portland Timbers
The Timbers are unbeaten in their last five matches against SKC, and while we do not expect this game to be entirely as one-sided as their earlier encounter this year, in which Portland won 7-2, the home side have been poor defensively, allowing multiple goals in five straight games, something we think will hamper them in this fixture.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 51.48%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 24.52% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 0-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.