Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 46.36%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.