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Major League Soccer
Montreal Impact
Major League Soccer
May 28, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Stade Saputo
Inter Miami

Montreal
1 - 0
Inter Miami

Offor (53')
Waterman (39'), Rea (90+3'), Rea (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Krivtsov (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

All competitions
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-1 Montreal
Sunday, May 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Inter Miami

All competitions
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-3 Orlando City
Sunday, May 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 2-0 Inter Miami

 The Herons are struggling to find a spark from anywhere, while the additions of Lassiter and Duke to Montreal seem to have been the missing link for them when it comes to connecting passes from the midfield to the attack. While neither have played exceptionally well domestically of late, we are giving the home side the edge because they seem to have more depth and creativity, while losing Gregore has made Miami far too easy to get through in the midfield.

How to watch

You can watch CF Montreal vs. Inter Miami and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 58.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 18.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for CF Montreal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for CF Montreal.

Result
CF MontrealDrawInter Miami
58.17% (2.071 2.07) 23.07% (-0.262 -0.26) 18.76% (-1.811 -1.81)
Both teams to score 49.47% (-2.095 -2.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.31% (-1.313 -1.31)49.69% (1.312 1.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.29% (-1.188 -1.19)71.7% (1.185 1.18)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.2% (0.262 0.26)16.8% (-0.265 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.23% (0.46599999999999 0.47)46.76% (-0.469 -0.47)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.45% (-2.716 -2.72)40.54% (2.714 2.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.85% (-2.546 -2.55)77.15% (2.542 2.54)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 58.16%
    Inter Miami 18.76%
    Draw 23.06%
CF MontrealDrawInter Miami
1-0 @ 12.15% (0.74 0.74)
2-0 @ 10.83% (0.74 0.74)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.44% (0.495 0.5)
3-1 @ 5.82% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.87% (0.244 0.24)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.184 -0.18)
4-1 @ 2.6% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.071 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.03% (0.095 0.09)
5-1 @ 0.93% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 58.16%
1-1 @ 10.96% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 6.81% (0.356 0.36)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.351 -0.35)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 23.06%
0-1 @ 6.15% (-0.126 -0.13)
1-2 @ 4.95% (-0.441 -0.44)
0-2 @ 2.78% (-0.274 -0.27)
1-3 @ 1.49% (-0.257 -0.26)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.216 -0.22)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 18.76%

How you voted: Montreal vs Inter Miami

CF Montreal
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Inter Miami
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2023 12.30am
Inter Miami
2-0
Montreal
Krivtsov (41'), Borgelin (76')

Herrera (40')
Oct 9, 2022 7.30pm
Inter Miami
1-3
Montreal
Waterman (85' og.)
Mihailovic (5'), Lappalainen (8'), Kamara (36')
Miller (2')
Aug 7, 2022 12.30am
Montreal
2-2
Inter Miami
Quioto (5', 21' pen.)
Waterman (31')
Higuain (6'), Rodriguez (79')
Aug 1, 2021 1am
gameweek 21
Inter Miami
2-1
Montreal
Higuain (49' pen., 69')
Gonzalez Pirez (54'), Gregore (77')
Torres (20')
Wanyama (18')
Jul 4, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 15
Montreal
1-0
Inter Miami
Choiniere (41')
Wanyama (14'), Struna (54'), Camacho (58')

Gonzalez Pirez (71'), Leerdam (73'), Gregore (76')
rhs 2.0
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