Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.