Major League Soccer

Apr 29, 2023 at 6.30pm UK

First Tennessee Park

Nashville
3 - 1
Atlanta

Picault (36'), Bunbury (56'), Shaffelburg (90+1')
Muyl (48')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Almada (72' pen.)
Lennon (35'), Sanchez (87'), Sosa (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions

Last Game: Nashville 1-1 Los Angeles
Sunday, April 23 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Atlanta 2-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, April 23 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Nashville SC 1-0 Atlanta United

Nashville have been poor in front of goal this term, but they currently boast the best defensive record in MLS. We are backing the hosts to narrowly edge their visitors and come away with all three points at the end of the 90 minutes.

How to watch

You can watch Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 51.29%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result
Nashville SC	Draw	Atlanta United
51.29%	24.12%	24.58% ( -0)

Both teams to score 54.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.57%

47.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.35%

69.64% (

-0)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.5%

18.49% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.29%

49.71% (

-0)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.45%

33.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.81% (

-0)

70.19%

Score Analysis

Nashville SC 51.29%

Atlanta United 24.58%

Draw 24.12%

Nashville SC	Draw	Atlanta United
1-0 @ 10.47% 2-1 @ 9.65% 2-0 @ 8.84% 3-1 @ 5.43% 3-0 @ 4.97% 3-2 @ 2.97% 4-1 @ 2.29% 4-0 @ 2.1% 4-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.33% Total : 51.29%	1-1 @ 11.43% 0-0 @ 6.21% 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.12%	0-1 @ 6.78% 1-2 @ 6.25% 0-2 @ 3.7% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.27% 2-3 @ 1.92% 0-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.32% Total : 24.58%