We said: Atlanta United 2-0 New York Red Bulls
We are expecting Atlanta to respond to the heavy defeat they suffered against Columbus, and the Five Stripes are still unbeaten on home soil, so we think that they will have enough to edge this contest.
On the contrary, New York are yet to win on their travels, and despite the defeat last week, Atlanta have started the season in an impressive manner.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 52.94%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 23.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atlanta United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atlanta United.