Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 60.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 18.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 1-2 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for New England Revolution in this match.