Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 52.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 22.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for New England Revolution in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for New England Revolution.
Result | ||
New England Revolution | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
52.29% ( -0) | 25.13% ( 0) | 22.58% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 48.85% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.66% ( -0) | 53.34% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.12% ( -0) | 74.88% ( 0) |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.6% | 20.4% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.18% ( -0) | 52.82% ( 0.01) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.37% ( 0) | 38.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.63% ( 0) | 75.37% |
Score Analysis |
New England Revolution | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
1-0 @ 12.52% 2-0 @ 9.96% 2-1 @ 9.47% 3-0 @ 5.28% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.39% 4-0 @ 2.1% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.61% Total : 52.28% | 1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 7.88% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 7.49% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.56% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.43% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.51% Total : 22.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |