Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 52.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 22.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for New England Revolution in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for New England Revolution.