Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for CF Montreal in this match.