Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 60.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 18.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
New England Revolution | Draw | Austin FC |
60.46% ( 1.55) | 21.52% ( -0.52) | 18.02% ( -1.04) |
Both teams to score 53.03% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.75% ( 0.66) | 44.25% ( -0.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.37% ( 0.63) | 66.63% ( -0.64) |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.81% ( 0.71) | 14.19% ( -0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.1% ( 1.36) | 41.9% ( -1.36) |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.8% ( -0.77) | 38.2% ( 0.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.04% ( -0.74) | 74.96% ( 0.74) |
Score Analysis |
New England Revolution | Draw | Austin FC |
1-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.23) 4-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.12) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.81% Total : 60.46% | 1-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.51% | 0-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.28% Total : 18.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |