Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 60.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 18.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.