We said: Inter Miami 1-2 New England Revolution
Inter Miami have started to find their feet in the MLS over the past few weeks, but they still trail New England Revolution by 12 points in the table, which displays just how well the visitors have started the campaign.
As such, we expect New England to emerge with a narrow win, akin to their closely-contested 2-1 victory against DC United back in March.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Inter Miami in this match.