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Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
May 14, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
New England Revolution

Inter Miami
2 - 1
New England

Ruiz (6'), Martinez (44')
Ruiz (37'), Martinez (45'), Taylor (60'), McVey (78'), Campana (85')
Ruiz (81')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Gil (26')
Polster (79'), Buck (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Atlanta
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

New England Revolution

All competitions
Last Game: Toronto 0-2 New England
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 1-2 New England Revolution

 Inter Miami have started to find their feet in the MLS over the past few weeks, but they still trail New England Revolution by 12 points in the table, which displays just how well the visitors have started the campaign. As such, we expect New England to emerge with a narrow win, akin to their closely-contested 2-1 victory against DC United back in March.

How to watch

You can watch Inter Miami vs. New England Revolution and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Inter Miami in this match.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawNew England Revolution
44.15% (3.622 3.62) 24.56% (-0.234 -0.23) 31.29% (-3.388 -3.39)
Both teams to score 57.83% (-0.365 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.06% (0.035000000000004 0.04)44.94% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.71% (0.033000000000001 0.03)67.29% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.54% (1.693 1.69)20.46% (-1.691 -1.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.08% (2.62 2.62)52.92% (-2.618 -2.62)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.7% (-2.051 -2.05)27.29% (2.051 2.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.27% (-2.739 -2.74)62.73% (2.741 2.74)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 44.15%
    New England Revolution 31.29%
    Draw 24.56%
Inter MiamiDrawNew England Revolution
2-1 @ 9.13% (0.384 0.38)
1-0 @ 8.86% (0.432 0.43)
2-0 @ 7.03% (0.678 0.68)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.435 0.44)
3-0 @ 3.72% (0.527 0.53)
3-2 @ 3.14% (0.111 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.92% (0.26 0.26)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.273 0.27)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 44.15%
1-1 @ 11.5% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.56%
1-2 @ 7.47% (-0.516 -0.52)
0-1 @ 7.25% (-0.447 -0.45)
0-2 @ 4.71% (-0.591 -0.59)
1-3 @ 3.23% (-0.432 -0.43)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.197 -0.2)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.393 -0.39)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.211 -0.21)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 31.29%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs New England

Inter Miami
27.3%
Draw
9.1%
New England Revolution
63.6%
11
Head to Head
May 1, 2022 12.30am
New England
2-0
Inter Miami
Rivera (1'), Buksa (64')
Kaptoum (90')

Gregore (28'), Lowe (54'), Quinteros (55')
Lowe (60'), Quinteros (76')
Apr 9, 2022 8pm
Inter Miami
3-2
New England
Campana (17', 23', 88')
Mota (7'), Lowe (65'), Gregore (65'), Rodriguez (90+1')
Rennicks (11'), Gil (67' pen.)
McNamara (20'), Lletget (59'), Kessler (82'), Polster (84')
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
gameweek 44
New England
0-1
Inter Miami

Kessler (34')
Matuidi (58')
Shea (49'), Carranza (63'), Pizarro (64')
Jul 22, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 19
Inter Miami
0-5
New England

Figal (15'), Chapman (62')
Ingvi Traustason (15', 36'), Bunbury (27'), Buksa (45+4', 83')
Sep 27, 2020 12.30am
gameweek 44
New England
P-P
Inter Miami
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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