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Major League Soccer
New England Revolution
Major League Soccer
Mar 17, 2024 at 6pm UK
Gillette Stadium
FC Cincinnati

New England
1 - 2
Cincinnati

Vrioni (62')
Harkes (48'), Jones (83'), Vrioni (90+4'), Gil (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kubo (52'), Acosta (54')
Yedlin (63'), Orellano (69'), Acosta (72'), Bucha (85'), Boupendza (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Alajuelense 1-1 New England
Friday, March 15 at 12am in CONCACAF Champions League

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Monterrey 2-1 Cincinnati
Friday, March 15 at 2.15am in CONCACAF Champions League

We said: New England Revolution 1-3 FC Cincinnati

 It seems to be taking the Revs longer than expected to adjust to the Caleb Porter way of playing, and they could still be figuring things out on Sunday. Defensively in 2024, Cincinnati have been a lot more compact and organised, and we believe a player with the vision and creativity of Acosta will find a way to expose a leaky Revs backline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawFC Cincinnati
48.46% (0.58600000000001 0.59) 23.35% (-0.203 -0.2) 28.19% (-0.386 -0.39)
Both teams to score 60.1% (0.422 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.9% (0.687 0.69)41.1% (-0.688 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.51% (0.695 0.7)63.49% (-0.69700000000001 -0.7)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.82% (0.485 0.48)17.17% (-0.486 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.57% (0.85 0.85)47.43% (-0.851 -0.85)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.56% (0.084999999999994 0.08)27.44% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.08% (0.112 0.11)62.92% (-0.113 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 48.46%
    FC Cincinnati 28.19%
    Draw 23.35%
New England RevolutionDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.3% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-0 @ 7.31% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.55% (0.106 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.3% (0.072 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.078 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.45% (0.084 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.89% (0.061 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 48.46%
1-1 @ 10.73% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 6.12% (0.036 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.71% (-0.149 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.35%
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-1 @ 6.09% (-0.177 -0.18)
0-2 @ 3.94% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.99% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.64% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 28.19%

How you voted: New England vs Cincinnati

New England Revolution
15.4%
Draw
15.4%
FC Cincinnati
69.2%
13
Head to Head
Jul 2, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati
2-2
New England
Badji (11', 55')
Nwobodo (36')
Badji (15' og.), Bou (24')
Gil (51'), Blessing (52')
> Preview
Apr 30, 2023 12.30am
New England
1-1
Cincinnati
Boateng (45+3')
Mosquera (31')
> Preview
Jul 4, 2022 12.30am
New England
2-2
Cincinnati
Borrero (30'), Bou (55')
Kessler (41' og.)
> Preview
May 22, 2022 12.20am
Cincinnati
2-3
New England
Vazquez (26'), Barreal (58')
Nwobodo (23')
Lletget (17'), Buksa (43'), McNamara (89')
Rivera (5'), Boateng (90+4')
> Preview
Aug 22, 2021 1am
Gameweek 27
New England
4-1
Cincinnati
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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