Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 48.76%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.