We said: New York City FC 2-0 Toronto
New York City have hit their stride in recent weeks and will be licking their lips as they take on an out-of-sorts Toronto side who have lost 12 of their last 13 matches. The Pigeons picked up an emphatic 5-0 victory when they met in the Leagues Cup back in July and we are backing them to come out on top once again.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 71.55%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 11.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.