Major League Soccer

Sep 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Citi Field

NY City
2 - 0
Orlando City

Bakrar (37'), Magno (68')
Ledezma (41')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pereyra (45+1'), Cartagena (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 0-0 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, September 16 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Orlando City

All competitions

Last Game: Orlando City 4-3 Columbus Crew
Sunday, September 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: New York City FC 0-2 Orlando City

Over the past couple of months, the Lions have become a well-balanced unit, adding more attacking flair to go along with their disciplined backline, and given their poise away from home and their current form, we believe they will get the job done against the Pigeons. New York City have not played poorly throughout the campaign, but they still look indecisive in the attacking third, which might cost them again on Wednesday.

How to watch

You can watch New York City FC vs. Orlando City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 55.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 21.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	Orlando City
55.09% ( -0.01)	23.88% ( 0.01)	21.03% ( 0)

Both teams to score 50.53% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.92% (

-0.04)

50.08% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.95% (

-0.04)

72.05% (

0.04)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.95% (

-0.02)

18.05% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.05% (

-0.04)

48.95% (

0.03)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.66% (

-0.02)

38.34% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.91% (

-0.02)

75.09% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

New York City FC 55.08%

Orlando City 21.03%

Draw 23.87%

New York City FC	Draw	Orlando City
1-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.79% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 3.39% Total : 55.08%	1-1 @ 11.35% 0-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.87%	0-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.45% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.18% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.52% Total : 21.03%