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Major League Soccer
Sep 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Citi Field
Orlando City

NY City
2 - 0
Orlando City

Bakrar (37'), Magno (68')
Ledezma (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pereyra (45+1'), Cartagena (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 0-0 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, September 16 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 4-3 Columbus Crew
Sunday, September 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 0-2 Orlando City

Over the past couple of months, the Lions have become a well-balanced unit, adding more attacking flair to go along with their disciplined backline, and given their poise away from home and their current form, we believe they will get the job done against the Pigeons. New York City have not played poorly throughout the campaign, but they still look indecisive in the attacking third, which might cost them again on Wednesday.

How to watch

You can watch New York City FC vs. Orlando City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 55.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 21.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawOrlando City
55.09% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01) 23.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 21.03% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 50.53% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.92% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)50.08% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.95% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)72.05% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.95% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)18.05% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.05% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)48.95% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.66% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)38.34% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.91% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)75.09% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 55.08%
    Orlando City 21.03%
    Draw 23.87%
New York City FCDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 11.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 5.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 5.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.48% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 55.08%
1-1 @ 11.35%
0-0 @ 6.92% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 23.87%
0-1 @ 6.64% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.45% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.18% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.74% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 21.03%

How you voted: NY City vs Orlando City

New York City FC
40.0%
Draw
10.0%
Orlando City
50.0%
10
Head to Head
May 18, 2023 12.30am
Oct 2, 2022 6pm
Aug 29, 2022 12.30am
Orlando City
2-1
NY City
Carlos (50')
Haak (45+1'), Moralez (89'), Chanot (90+3')
Jul 25, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 19
NY City
5-0
Orlando City
Medina (40'), Tajouri (53'), Moralez (66'), Meineche (79'), Castellanos (82')
Acevedo (74')

Carlos (41'), Schlegel (86')
May 8, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 6
Orlando City
1-1
NY City
Nani (52')
Smith (34')
Castellanos (77' pen.)
Sands (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls168532922729
4New York City FCNY City169252417729
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC177461818025
6Columbus Crew146622113824
7Toronto177372626024
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta164482221116
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1431101127-1610

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236191733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles169342819930
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd158432720728
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver167452419525
6Austin FCAustin176562125-423
7Houston DynamoHouston166461818022
8Colorado RapidsColorado176472931-222
9Portland TimbersPortland175573232020
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City153842325-217
12Dallas153481724-713
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas162592431-711
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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