We said: New York City FC 2-1 Minnesota United
The Pigeons have been underwhelming through much of the 2023 campaign but made some good signings during the secondary transfer window, which should enable them to be more clinical in the attacking third.
Meanwhile, Minnesota have been a lot more potent in front of goal lately but not nearly as sharp on the back end, and we expect them to give up as many chances as they create on Sunday.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 55.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 21.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.